The Harris campaign believes Trump-skeptical Republicans are the secret pro-Harris voters who will win them the election. Team Trump thinks it’s a mirage.
She could say that she’ll demand Israel stop the genocide on day 1, and immediately stop sending them the means to carry it out… I bet her polling numbers would jump significantly among young people… There’s plenty of other things she could also say she’ll come out the gates swinging for, like single payer healthcare, paying for all education and cancelling student debt, tax the shit out of the rich, etc and say the Dems will primary any Dem who doesn’t get on board ASAP
Our first matchup tested a Democrat and a Republican who “both agree with Israel’s current approach to the conflict in Gaza”. In this case, the generic candidates tied 44–44. The second matchup saw the same Republican facing a Democrat supporting “an immediate ceasefire and a halt of military aid and arms sales to Israel”. Interestingly, the Democrat led 49–43, with Independents and 2020 non-voters driving the bulk of this shift.
In Pennsylvania, 34% of respondents said they would be more likely to vote for the Democratic nominee if the nominee vowed to withhold weapons to Israel, compared to 7% who said they would be less likely. The rest said it would make no difference. In Arizona, 35% said they’d be more likely, while 5% would be less likely. And in Georgia, 39% said they’d be more likely, also compared to 5% who would be less likely.
Majorities of Democrats (67%) and Independents (55%) believe the US should either end support for Israel’s war effort or make that support conditional on a ceasefire. Only 8% of Democrats but 42% of Republicans think the US must support Israel unconditionally.
Republicans and Independents most often point to immigration as one of Biden’s top foreign policy failures. Democrats most often select the US response to the war in Gaza.
She could say that she’ll demand Israel stop the genocide on day 1, and immediately stop sending them the means to carry it out… I bet her polling numbers would jump significantly among young people… There’s plenty of other things she could also say she’ll come out the gates swinging for, like single payer healthcare, paying for all education and cancelling student debt, tax the shit out of the rich, etc and say the Dems will primary any Dem who doesn’t get on board ASAP
You’re right, it would, by a significant amount
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Thank you for this… Excellent work