If only there was a way they could have seen this coming…
Some kind of warning sign that trump was a fucking liar…
What i’ve come to see recently is that basically, there’s two ways of knowing what will happen in the future: predicting it based on models of how things work, or trying it out experimentally.
Now, to some people, making theoretical predictions is easier, while for others, doing the experiment is nicer. Ultimately, both lead (or, should lead) to the same result, but the experiment is more expensive and typically involves more suffering.
But also the more often we do the experiment, the better our theoretical understanding of things gets, and the more likely it is that we don’t have to try things out experimentally in the future. So, it’s not for nothing. Consider it a learning experience for the broader population.
Imagine a fucking bear shows up, everyone runs to the cave and hides.
An hour later no one hears the bear.
One human thinks it’s fine and leaves the cave. He gets fucking ate. And of course it’s a “he” men are evolutionary wired to be more risky, we’re more disposable.
Next week bear comes again, but everyone remember last week. So they wait 2 hours, first guy doesn’t get eaten so everyone comes out.
Modern humans are protected, we don’t see people get ate by bears, even Covid, the worst happened behind closed doors only medical professionals saw.
So our stupid monkey brains decide risk doesn’t matter, because we don’t see consequences.
It’s like the end of Silicon Valley, it wasn’t enough to fail, they had to publicly get ripped apart by a metaphorical bear. So everyone else remembered and wouldn’t try.
This trump term is that, unavoidable and unignorable consequences.
So hopefully the idiots at least learn a lesson from it, cuz it’s already happening
What i’ve come to see recently is that basically, there’s two ways of knowing what will happen in the future: predicting it based on models of how things work, or trying it out experimentally.
Now, to some people, making theoretical predictions is easier, while for others, doing the experiment is nicer. Ultimately, both lead (or, should lead) to the same result, but the experiment is more expensive and typically involves more suffering.
But also the more often we do the experiment, the better our theoretical understanding of things gets, and the more likely it is that we don’t have to try things out experimentally in the future. So, it’s not for nothing. Consider it a learning experience for the broader population.
It’s normal human variation…
Imagine a fucking bear shows up, everyone runs to the cave and hides.
An hour later no one hears the bear.
One human thinks it’s fine and leaves the cave. He gets fucking ate. And of course it’s a “he” men are evolutionary wired to be more risky, we’re more disposable.
Next week bear comes again, but everyone remember last week. So they wait 2 hours, first guy doesn’t get eaten so everyone comes out.
Modern humans are protected, we don’t see people get ate by bears, even Covid, the worst happened behind closed doors only medical professionals saw.
So our stupid monkey brains decide risk doesn’t matter, because we don’t see consequences.
It’s like the end of Silicon Valley, it wasn’t enough to fail, they had to publicly get ripped apart by a metaphorical bear. So everyone else remembered and wouldn’t try.
This trump term is that, unavoidable and unignorable consequences.
So hopefully the idiots at least learn a lesson from it, cuz it’s already happening