Weeeeeeell it does and it doesn’t. The trend in chip design this days is to fabricate in three dimensions, which is more complex and expensive but does allow to pack more computing power onto a single chip. The old standard MOSFET transistor architecture hit the wall way back in like 2012, but chips are still getting smaller, just maybe not at the same rate
Yeah, physical issues on micro devices is a hard cap. I read someone believing we’ll make things bigger, not by a lot, but to allot more space to reach greater speeds. So don’t expect the old Pentium 1/2 big chip designs but more just being 25% increase in size of the chip. This might not have an effect on circuit boards but don’t be surprised to see them getting a bit larger to compensate as well.
Needless to say, I believe we’ll reach a point of that in my lifetime.
That definitely possible. There is still a lot of ongoing research into new transistor architectures and nanolithography techniques tho, so I wouldn’t count out the possibility of moore’s law continuing for a couple more decades. It’s honestly astonishing how good at this stuff the tech industry really is, it’s beyond anything that sci-fi could imagine.
Weeeeeeell it does and it doesn’t. The trend in chip design this days is to fabricate in three dimensions, which is more complex and expensive but does allow to pack more computing power onto a single chip. The old standard MOSFET transistor architecture hit the wall way back in like 2012, but chips are still getting smaller, just maybe not at the same rate
Yeah, physical issues on micro devices is a hard cap. I read someone believing we’ll make things bigger, not by a lot, but to allot more space to reach greater speeds. So don’t expect the old Pentium 1/2 big chip designs but more just being 25% increase in size of the chip. This might not have an effect on circuit boards but don’t be surprised to see them getting a bit larger to compensate as well.
Needless to say, I believe we’ll reach a point of that in my lifetime.
That definitely possible. There is still a lot of ongoing research into new transistor architectures and nanolithography techniques tho, so I wouldn’t count out the possibility of moore’s law continuing for a couple more decades. It’s honestly astonishing how good at this stuff the tech industry really is, it’s beyond anything that sci-fi could imagine.