It must surely be imminent. He’s not in the best health if the reports about him eating mcdonalds all the time are true. He’s 79 which isn’t that old but I dont see many fat, stressed 90 year olds on a mcdonalds diet.
Say he had a heart attack next week… then what? Presumably Vance would take over as actual president, but I can’t imagine anyone being as bad as him. Would the maga movement continue with a different cult leader? Do you think things would meaningfully change?
One of the interesting things to consider is the timing. He’s been bleeding popularity the whole time but death has a way of buffing up your reputation. If enough people turn against him before he dies, he becomes broadly a villain. If he dies tomorrow, there’s still a huge number of people who will think of him as a martyred saint.
I admit that I’ve never truly understood martyrdom, but I think it’s notable that Trump would get thrown under a thousand busses.
He’s objectively directly responsible for a whole lot of bad stuff. Right now no one wants to blame him for anything because he’s a petulant toddler happy to wield the worlds largest economy and armed forces against you if he feels your grovelling is insufficient.
However, as soon as he’s gone I imagine that dynamic will change dramatically. What’s the benefit of sucking up to someone who can no longer shit in your cornflakes?
Instead the opposite is true - his successors will be heavily motivated to blame everything on Trump.