• nilloc@discuss.tchncs.de
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    10 months ago

    Here’s list since summary bot completely missed the list:

    (Please excuse my formatting, I’m on a phone and copying over from that article was a PITA.)

    • nilloc@discuss.tchncs.de
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      10 months ago

      Elise Stefanik

      The New York congresswoman has, along with Noem, long been touted as a strong female choice for Trump’s running mate because of her fierce loyalty to the former president, with Trump also frequently praising her.

      Oddschecker currently has her +700 (7/1) to be Trump’s next running mate but suggested that she actually has “better odds of becoming vice president over Ramaswamy, despite what oddsmakers are currently predicting.”

    • nilloc@discuss.tchncs.de
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      10 months ago

      Vivek Ramaswamy

      According to Oddschecker, Ramaswamy’s chances of becoming Trump’s next running mate surged after the Iowa caucuses, rising from +740 (37/5), or an 11.9 percent probability to +650 (13/2), and now has a 13.3 percent implied probability.

    • nilloc@discuss.tchncs.de
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      10 months ago

      Kristi Noem

      The South Dakota governor has long been considered one of the top candidates to be Trump’s pick.

      According to the latest odds, Noem has a +375 (15/4) chance of becoming Trump’s next running, with an implied probability of 21 percent.

      • quindraco@lemm.ee
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        10 months ago

        This math is some kind of war crime. 375, 15/4, and 21% are radically different numbers, and only the third one represents a probability or “chance”.

        15/4 appears to actually mean her odds are 15 to 4 to lose, as her odds of winning, about 21%, matches up with 4/19, i.e. 4 to 15 odds of winning.

        And I have no idea what the hell 375 is supposed to mean.

    • nilloc@discuss.tchncs.de
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      10 months ago

      Ben Carson

      Carson, whom Trump nominated as secretary of housing and urban development in 2017, comes in as fourth in Oddschecker’s list.

      However, the suggestions appeared to be more wild speculation, rather than any real indication from Trump.

      Oddschecker is offering odds of +800 (8/1) on Carson being named Trump’s next running mate.