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Cake day: March 5th, 2025

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  • Seems like Russia forced an agreement, then called it invalid when Ukraine stuck to the terms.

    What do you mean? The "agreement quickly broke down, with violations by both sides."

    That doesn’t sound like Ukraine sticking to the terms.

    Russia claimed that the Minsk agreements did not apply to their operations in Debaltseve and Ukraine used similar arguments when launching their own operations into grey zones as you can see here:

    “Yuriy Biriukov, an adviser to Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko, says that almost the entire “grey” zone in Donbas, eastern Ukraine, has been liberated from Russian-led forces without breaching the Minsk peace agreements and is under control of the Ukrainian army.”

    Zelenskyy refused to federalize the country despite Ukraine having the obligation to give eastern territories autonomy through federalizing the country because of the Minsk Agreements. Ukraine also had the obligation to uphold linguistic rights to ethnic minorities but violated the Minsk Agreements with the 2019 language law which didn’t outright ban the Russian language but did discriminate against those who did not speak Ukrainian or an EU language.

    Yeh, so Russia wasn’t happy. And instead of going “this isnt in the spirit of the agreement” decided to botch an invasion, and is now targeting civilian targets.

    You can claim that Ukraine not upholding the Minsk Agreements doesn’t justify the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine, you’d be right but that doesn’t mean that Zelenskyy’s actions did not have a hand in starting it. Although personally, I see Russia’s 2022 relatively nice peace terms to be proof that while the invasion is horrendous, the current narrative is nonsense as well.

    Ukraine isn’t targeting civilians.

    Belgorod disagrees, with one shelling in the center of Belgorod for example killing 21 including 3 children.



  • No way dude! But with what industry though?

    In all seriousness, Russia was producing 20-30 T-90Ms per month (or 240-360 per year) in 2024 going off of monthly deliveries. The entirety of Europe cannot even match this. The only country I am aware of that can produce this many tanks per month is South Korea and China. This has likely increased since then but due to increased OPSEC, there have been no videos of batches of T-90Ms (or even T-72B3s) being delivered. But missile production has doubled since 2024 so I would not be surprised that tank production has also doubled to 40-60 per month (480-720 per year).

    I have been keeping track of T-90M deliveries for a while now:

    Link

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    It was always around 20-30 per month last year. This means Russia produces more tanks than the amount the entire German military has in a single year. And as I stated, this likely has doubled but it is impossible to verify as OPSEC means we have not seen any deliveries on video for half a year now. Europe can’t even produce their own ballistic missiles which have been a game changer in Ukraine as shown by the effectiveness of ATACMS and Iskander-M.

    Russia is producing more shells than the entirety of Europe combined who struggles to supply Ukraine with even a million shells (while Russia was producing 3 million per year in 2024).


  • The “separatists” were the Russian troops

    Nope, it was even before GRU war criminal Igor Girkin became Minister of Defence of the Donetsk People’s Republic.

    Vice News Dispatch which I suggest watching

    From Wikipedia:

    “The Daily Telegraph reported that some locals thought that most of the between five and twenty people killed were innocent civilians”

    “The troops moving out of the city shot at unarmed civilians, according to The Guardian.”

    “Anna Neistat from Human Rights Watch stated “my preliminary findings suggest that Ukrainian units might indeed have used excessive force near the drama theater, which resulted in deaths and injuries of some unarmed people” and urged a full, thorough investigation.”

    The civilians even shown their passports which provided proof that they were not Russian.

    If you want, I can PM you footage of said massacre where Ukraine shot into a crowd of unarmed civilians.

    Also the majority of DPR and LPR forces were locals. People like to quote Girkin who stated that the War in the Donbas would not have happened without him but they forget the rest of the quote. Girkin was stating that the separatists would have been crushed without the intelligence and weapons he provided them naming Mariupol as an example where the anti-Maidan movement got crushed as the unarmed civilians had no support and got gunned down by the AFU. He never said that he was the one who caused the unrest, only that it would have gotten crushed without his weapons and intelligence. Outside of volunteers from Russia or Crimea, the actual Russian Armed Forces did not participate outside of providing weapons and intelligence in any significant number until 2015 when DPR and LPR forces were being pushed back leading to Russia sending BTGs into Ukraine.






  • But it’s zelenskys fault that Russia invaded

    Yes, he failed to implement Minsk II as he claimed he would during his election campaign.

    Instead, Ukraine proceeded to implement new language laws which discriminated against the Russian language (going against the agreement), continued to imprison and torture political dissidents after the agreement was made as per Amnesty International which was also in violation of the Minsk Agreement which explicity stated that Ukraine was not allowed to imprison or punish people due to events related to the war in Donbas. Ukraine also refused to allow local elections in violation of the agreement.

    "Ukraine insists that local elections can take place only after a complete ceasefire and withdrawal of all Russian troops and weapons.

    Clear violation of the agreement as the entire agreement was Ukraine allows local elections, Russia withdraws then everyone’s happy. Russia can’t do its part if Ukraine doesn’t. The agreement specifically stated that elections come first and then withdrawal not the other way around. Ukraine clearly violated the agreement.

    Or, it’s a military target? Without children and civilians?

    Hiroshima was a military target but we both can agree that there were civilians there.

    There weren’t military personnel there?

    There indeed was, please check the guy at the last second of this video

    Unless you want to argue that a humanitarian aid worker is equipped with camouflage, try again.


  • The problem isn’t the two party or one party system. Both provide stability. The problem is the lack of the separation of powers.

    The position of General Secretary allowed Stalin to appoint his allies into key positions without any vote from the other factions of the government.

    I will admit what occurred under Gorbachev is very similar to what is occurring under the US with Yeltsin essentially being Russia’s Trump who appealed to Russian nationalism and who claimed that he will make Russia great again by getting rid of what he viewed as welfare queens that was the other Soviet republics and getting rid of Soviet authority. But I would also like to point out that the CPSU would have been capable of fighting off this Russian “trumpist” if it wasn’t for the August Coup which deteriorated the CPSU’s authority giving the Soviet government no means to fight back against right-wing nationalism.

    Another problem was that Gorbachev did allow some independents to run for government meaning democracy was not kept within the party where factions would have been able to unite against a right wing nationalist.





  • I personally recommend a system where there are multi candidate elections but all candidates have to be part of the same party. This will essentially turn the socialist party into a big tent party albeit the party will have the single goal of progressing towards socialism. Factions in the party will essentially act as a miniature parliament as factions could also create coalitions between each other.

    There are two times this happened.

    The Early USSR before Stalin took power with there being the right wing of the party who advocated for a market socialist economy and the continuation of voluntary collectivization, the center wing of the party (Stalin’s faction) who advocated for a centrally planned economy and forced collectivization, and finally the left wing of the party who were Trotskyists. There was nothing necessarily wrong with system except that Stalin was given a position which had too much power. The position of General Secretary was too powerful to exist in any democratic government and allowed him to destroy the separation of powers between the different factions (similar to what Trump is doing).

    Late USSR under Gorbachev who allowed multi candidate elections albeit almost all candidates had to be party of the CPSU but failed because of the deterioration of the authority of the CPSU caused by the August Coup which strengthened the authority of the government of the RSFSR which was controlled by Yeltsin and friends who destroyed the USSR in support for Russian nationalism (they didn’t want Russia to subsidize its poorer republics and wanted Russia out of the CPSU/Soviet government’s authority).