I play guitar, watch USMLR and NHL, occasionally brew beer, enjoy live music and travel, and practice sarcasm.

Mastodon - @baronvonj@mas.to

  • 9 Posts
  • 593 Comments
Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 11th, 2023

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  • There’s always some naysayer in these threads with this tired aCkShUaLlY argument, and it is capitulative bullshit.

    Giving people a false expectation on what a state government can unilaterally do here doesn’t help anyone.

    State payrolls are significant, any governor could easily setup an escrow account, divert all state payroll federal taxes to it, and use it for any shortfalls.

    Of course. In most states that was under 20% of the population in 2021, and that percentage include federal government employees. So still >80% of the federal tax payments from residents aren’t included in that.

    They could then create a mechanism within their own state tax system and allow employers to opt in.

    Yes, this is quite consistent with what I said about having to get employers to stop withholding tax payments for their employees. The state can provide a mechanism for the >80% of its residents who work in the private sector. And then it’s up to all of them to go along with it.

    I’m not sure what it is you needed to clarify for me or deride me over. You haven’t aCkShUaLlY contradicted anything I said.


  • I haven’t settled on anything yet. I basically just want something off-the-shelf which I can run containers on and has good version of Synology Drive. But I just migrated from Windows to Linux, and am finding this to be a sticking point. Synology Drive is available on Linux without on-demand sync. QNap supports QSync on Linux but only for Ubuntu, and it seems like manually unpacking the dev file and installing doesn’t work with latest versions. Running NextCloud on QNap might be an option.


  • But it’s limited, because most of that distribution and transfer comes from individual taxpayers,

    This is the real truth of it. You don’t really have state governments sending tax payments to the federal government, they’re not collecting the federal taxes from their residents. You’d basically have to get every employer in the state to stop sending in the tax payments on employees’ behalf. And then every resident would have to also not pay those taxes individually.

    I mean, it would be an amazing feat and a really strong signal to have that much unity to do it. But seems really unlikely for any state-wide population to be that well co-ordinated and unified.










  • So … that’s all what I thought you were saying, so thanks for that. And I do you get your point about the long term strategy of how we vote in year N impacts the campaigns in years N+2 and N+4. But none of that changes the fact that in any given election, there will be a winner regardless of the number of people who vote. A candidate will be declared a winner, period. In the case of president. To take it an absurd extreme example, if there was literally 11 votes cast for president in the entire country, with one person total from each of Ca, Tx, Fl, Ga, NC, NJ, Pa, NY, Oh, Mi, and Il all voting for the same one candidate then they would have 270 electoral votes and be named president. The other 189.5M registered voters sitting out the election wouldn’t have stopped it. So from a very raw mathematical perspective, I just don’t see how anyone can claim there was any way to prevent Trump from winning on election day other than by voting for the Democratic nominee (considering that no 3rd party presidential candidate has received a single electoral college vote since 1968, even Ross Perot in 1992 with basically 19% of the national popular vote had zero electoral votes I don’t believe we’ll have viable third parties anywhere that doesn’t have ranked choice voting). And at least in the 2024 election, I personally think that stopping the faction that was literally advertising their very unapologetically white nationalist Nazi-inspired platform fronted by the guy who said repeatedly he wants to be a dictator and that if we voted for him in 2024 we’d never have to vote again, really could have been a more important goal than trying trying to position for a better 2028 campaign at the expense of the now. Most other elections, I would feel a little different. But not this one.

    Both things are true here. Voting for Harris would have told the DNC that hey they didn’t do the wrong thing (which is not the same as hey you did the right thing). And enough people not voting for Harris because the DNC sucks also gave Trump the win. I can call out both sides of those statements involvement in the election cycle and be correct about it. Pointing out the faults of the one doesn’t ignore the faults of the other. That doesn’t mean I think you’re wrong about long term strategies. But I think people sitting out the primaries is the bigger issue on that front. We’ve seen repeatedly that when progressives run and people come out to vote, the progressives win against the opposition from withing of the neoliberal Democratic establishment. So we need to collectively stop waiting for the DNC to listen to us, and shout it in their faces louder than ever before in the primaries. And yes, I’m well aware that there really wasn’t a choice to make for president in the 2024 Democratic primary. But there were a lot of other choices to make and not one state hit even 40% turnout in the 2024 primaries.

    I don’t believe that not voting encourages future campaigns to reach out and engage to win your votes. We had pitiful turnout in the 2024 primaries, and it didn’t convince the DNC and Harris to go and listen to the non-voters to form their campaign strategy. It encourages them to really not give a crap about your opinion because if you don’t like theirs you’re going to stay home instead of vote against them. Beto wouldn’t have got so much attention for his unorthodox 2018 Senate campaign of actually going out to every county and talking to people all over the state if pursuing the historically non-voting was the typical campaign response. I believe that showing up to the polls to get your name on public record as being a reliable and regular voter is what tells them you are a potential vote against them so they better try and earn your vote. “Uncommitted” only made up 4% of the vote in the 2024 primary, and it was big news. Imagine what 75% primary turnout and 15-20% of that being “Uncommitted” would do to motivate the campaign strategists.

    So anyways, you have your views, I have mine. We’ve both spoken frankly and listened openly. Cheers.


  • Not bad faith, I just want to make sure we’re saying what we each think we’re saying. Because I don’t think you’re quite responding to what I’m actually saying, at face value.

    I’m not saying she ran a good enough campaign and everyone should have been enthusiastic about her. She absolutely made bad choices by letting the DNC machine make bad choices for her, and I absolutely recognize that those cost her votes and that. I’m not saying the primary process was totally the awesomerest best one we could have possibly hoped for, because it wasn’t. But I think the media coverage of the 4% primary voter turnout for Uncommitted, which surely had an impact on Democratic donors putting pressure on Biden and the party to change course, just serves to validate my belief that if we actually all came out and voted, we’d have a more representative government. Enthusiasm for the Harris/Waltz ticket was sky-fucking high at first and then it was squandered with milquetoast status quo. No argument from me about that.

    What I am saying, is that in isolation, come the general election in 2024, voting for Harris was the only action that would have prevented Trump from winning the 2024 general election. I feel like that’s just incontrovertible math. If you’re saying to me, in response, that looking solely at the singular event of the general election in 2024 (not the primary season, or anything that happened on the campaign trail, just the general election itself), that my vote for Harris in the 2024 election helped Trump win the 2024 election, then I think you need to show your math because it sounds truly insane.

    But I don’t think that’s what you’re saying. So I’d like a little more clarity on what you’re saying rather than making assumptions and inferences.