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Cake day: August 17th, 2023

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  • Not likely this time.

    Previously both sides would fire missiles for a few rounds, pretend to have won something and go back to strongly worded statements. This time the US insists on the regime change in Iran. So the Iranian leadership feels like they’re fighting for their lives. Because they are.

    I’m just catching up on the news but it seems to me Iran knows they can’t really meaningfully hit Israel. So they’re going to try dragging Gulf countries into the war. They’re close, easy to hit and full of rich people who are influential with the US. And have no serious military capacity (except maybe Saudis).

    Whether it works we’ll find out in a few days I think.













  • That’s not the way it works in the EU

    Not yet. Because they don’t have the mechanism.

    And it’s not about Sánchez and his government. I don’t think they would do it. But governments change, sooner or later someone else will win elections. Someone who might not agree with criticism.

    And don’t try to convince me “it would never happen in the EU”. We have more than enough examples that eventually every country has a brush with authoritarianism. Even in the EU currently (eg Hungary). Prevention is always better than trying to fix it later.