Realistically speaking:
If the buyer is Canada and their threat model involves Trump wanting to attack them, it’s a foregone conclusion. Get Gripen, equip with Meteor, get ready to kill AWACS.
It is my impression that deep strike drones previously flew pre-programmed (attempting to locate the target using satnav, and some fancy versions using ground scanning lidar).
The problem of deep strike drones becoming remote-controlled seems recent, and Ukraine has been experiencing an increasing frequency of those since autumn. They’ve been attacking moving targets. One recently hit a locomotive moving on a railway, the other hit a bus full of miners.
I don’t know the background - was Starlink responsive or unresponsive, or did Ukrainians wait for a statistical curve of adoption to present itself and become certain, before asking Starlink to pull the rug.
What is clear that Ukraine has worked out a way of registering and whitelisting their own Starlink terminals, and hasn’t yet fully completed the process, so they’re in a hurry too.
Next step: war of the mesh networks. Russian drones come in swarms and try to provide connectivity to those before them. It dulls the edge of the swarm (harder to overwhelm defenses) but requires Ukrainians to work hard at gunning down the flying relay nodes.
Besides the speculations about Israel and Russia having a hand in the game, there is another avenue of extortion open currently.
It is imaginable that US special services could offer people “deals” worded like “would you like your name to be redacted or published?”, and it’s foreseeable that some people would do a lot to have their name redacted.
Residents told Reuters the gunmen were jihadists who often preached in the village and that they demanded that locals ditch their allegiance to the Nigerian state and switch to sharia law. When the villagers pushed back, the militants opened fire during Tuesday’s sermon, they said.
Power.
Heyva Sor is real and if you can, I am sure they welcome any help. :)
Jammers, jammers and ever more jammers.
If Starlink cooperates, that’s good because Ukrainian units use it for their stationary communications.
But one also has to jam GPS, Galileo, Glonass and Beidou - and these systems cannot cooperate, they just have to be jammed.
Drones can navigate using mobile networks: mobile operators have to prevent data traffic to a SIM card which roams too fast between base stations. Drones may read mobile network cell IDs, this has to be prevented.
…and finally, drones can communicate directly with ground stations far away. This too must be jammed.
…and then, drones can navigate using machine vision, radio direction finding or ground-sensing radar / lidar. These methods are really hard to counter, if they start using that, then it’s kinetic defense only. :o
Sadly, the “student” (Russia) has by far exceeded the teacher (Iran) by now, and only depends on China to supply components.
To prevent damage, one has to either:
Of these avenues, I think Ukraine has been most successful at preventing navigation and reducing Russia’s revenue stream by just droning them back.
When local media released security camera footage of the couple fighting on a dark street outside it – Şebnem in a summer dress, squaring her shoulders at Bayhan – Sığın’s suspicions grew. She spoke with waiters in a nearby fish restaurant, who recalled the pair angrily leaving what was meant to be a romantic dinner there.
/…/
Sığın also got access to the police records, including a video they took inside the hotel room the morning after Şebnem’s death. This appears to show evidence of a clash: large spots of blood on the floor and a torn dark green-painted fingernail tangled in the bedsheet.
Summary in simple language: Turkish police regularly permit men to push women out of windows.
There could be something to this line of speculation.
But I’ll wait a bit for more files get analyzed to find patterns found.
A honeypot for influential people is not a new idea, in principle it doesn’t take an intelligence agency to accomplish.
However, a lasting honeypot which works for decades and nobody is busted? That suggests there is some party involved which a common cop fears to touch. Common cops are fearful of interfering in intelligence operations, among other things.
I definitely want to read more about this puzzle. As for the documents, having taken a brief look - so much redaction. Too much, not just names.
Thank you. That’s something I did not know about. I read the timeline of events.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Palestine_Action
It seems like an abuse of power by the government, parliament and cops, suggesting that several branches of power structures are capable of using violence against speech they don’t like.
However, this does not sum up to “China has better freedom of speech”. In the UK, the ban was publicly debated and opposed, and it being reviewed by a court, with outcomes still unknown. In China, treatment would be more severe.
Now try to determine my political allegiance. :)
If the plan becomes an actual amnesty, then something good has occurred.
how you’ve been scammed into another quagmire in West Asia
I take it that you guess I’m American. :)
Thousands have been arrested for opposing genocide in Gaza under terrorism laws
Do you have a source for this claim?
And a note about their troops… the Syrian government had to specifically order their troops not to display ISIS flags. Because some started displaying them on taken territory.
What the Kurds achieved from this compromise: their troops will be integrated into the Syrian army as units, not as individuals. So, they have the option to collectively rebel if things turn very dark. And some people from their political institutions will be integrated into Syria too. But very few.
True. I wonder what changed from his viewpoint.
This reply got me curious and I browsed your history a bit, finding this gem:
These “protests” are a CIA Mossad collaboration. Down vote me all you want but it’s true.
I will now also downvote you, thank you very much.
Rebellions, near-revolutions and actual revolutions occur for various reasons around the world. If you suspect external manipulation as the primary cause every time, you will be wrong most of time.
If you suspect external manipulation as a contributing factor at some times, you may be right.
People have ability to organize on their own (sometimes poorly and with catastrophic defeat as a result). They can be dead wrong about their chances of success, or know their chances and try anyway.
The biggest external influence in this case appears to have been Trump’s promise of stepping in to protect the protesters (their mistake: they may have believed him) and his claim that “help is on the way” when they were already practically supressed. These words cost many lives.
Israel is, of course, intensely interested in the future of Iran, as their most dangerous regional opponent. But Israel cannot force the government of Iran to make so bad economic decisions that traders on a market close their shops and riot.
How did you arrive on that conclusion? I read several UK-based news sites and they criticize the government on a daily basis.
I appreciate the call for introspection, but I think human rights violations should be criticized regardless, and even more widely than currently. I don’t care who does it - it’s everyone’s duty.
Special attention should be focused on severe and extensive violations.
Example: should we not criticize Iran for killing protesters? Should we not criticize Russia for attempting to conquer Ukraine and bombing civilians? Should we not criticize Israel for bombing civilians and starving Gaza’s population? Those are severe and extensive violations. If nobody makes a fuss, they become normality.
As for China… violations in China are extensive. Millions of people are affected by detainment, coercive relocation or forced labour programs. National identities of minority peoples are being erased, people are relocated by force or imprisoned if they oppose. People’s languages and customs are being banned from public life and education, religious minorities are discriminated against. Some violations are also severe (death penalty is meted out regularly for those who oppose too much).
I note: an average European country can criticize that without looking hypocritical.
Yesterday I criticized my own country, today I will criticize another country, and I expect politicians to meet the same standard.
He’s the second in command of the GRU - he would be a priority target for the GUR and would not go anywhere without a bodyguard somewhere near.
Assassins of any origin have life plans too, they don’t want to be pinned down into a firefight with people who have lots of backup coming fast. The assassin did his job, which may yet prove successful, and did his best to get out fast.