"The poll shows that women — particularly those who are older or are politically independent — are driving the late shift toward Harris.”
"The poll shows that women — particularly those who are older or are politically independent — are driving the late shift toward Harris.”
duuuuuude if this is happening in iowa, could it also be happening in other redish states… florida maybe?
There was a recent poll in Kansas that had Trump up 4 points, with a 4-point margin of error, in a state that he won by 15 points in 2020. Do I think my home state is actually going to go blue this election? No…but polls like these suggest the rural vote (in particular farmers, who for whatever else you might have to say about them, tend to at least have a political instinct for financial self-preservation that other rural voters seem to lack) not breaking nearly as heavily in his favor as it did last cycle.
Never estimate Florida, it will always disappoint
Always vote, but yes, I’ll believe Texas and Florida turn blue when I see it.
Texas is so abysmally gerrymandered it’s insane
But does that gerrymandering even matter for the presidential election?
Well, there’s also the voter suppression.
Oh of course but that’s a completely different issue. I’m from Nc so I’m really aware of the gerrymandering especially near these very blue counties like Wake.
Numerically no, practically yes.
Polling decisions are made on a per-district basis.
When you hear about democratic voter suppression in southern states, that’s because democratic strongholds are deliberately starved of resources to conduct elections.
I never thought about that but yes that makes sense.
The silver lining in my opinion is that Texas is in a very gradual, but inevitable slide to the left. Especially as wealthier tech workers move farther from city hubs, it’s fucking up the whole gerrymandering thing.
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Orlando and Miami (and Tampa) do a lot to push blue, esp the surprisingly queer Orlando.
Florida used to be blue. Will it be again? We’ll see, but I’ll tell you that Floridians are sick to death of their current leadership. Change is coming.
Abortion and recreational weed are in the ballot as amendments this election. I know I voted for both.