Political theory developed by Robert Michels
I feel like I agree that this often happens, and kind of aligns with how an ecosystem in stasis might gravitate towards some member species being dominant. But when a disturbance kicks in that structure is often overthrown, increasing diversity. So we need a good healthy disturbance to help pull these people off their pedestal!
You might like Goliath’s Curse by Luke Kemp, it discusses the concept of fission-fusion cycles, a historical pattern of groups/societies coming together and falling apart. It’s a little more coherent than Polybius’ anacyclosis.
I found this part interesting: A 2016 study by Bradi Heaberlin and Simon DeDeo has found that the evolution of Wikipedia’s network of norms over time is consistent with the iron law of oligarchy.
I can see why someone in 1911 would think that but there’s been an awful lot of water under the bridge since then.
I mean, everything that has happened since 1911 has only confirmed the rule.