I’ve read a good amount about this, and while by traditional measures there isn’t technically a recession, many real‑world signs make it feel like one. What do we think? I don’t think this breaks the 6 rule, it’s an economic question.

  • r0ertel@lemmy.world
    5·
    17 hours ago

    The US is not in a recession as of this posting date. I read something recently from Fidelity Investments that suggests that the US is heading toward a recession.

    Your exact question was found on the Q&A page

    Supporting evidence Key takeaways

    • The US economy continues to grow, although it is sending some mixed signals.

    • Corporate earnings remain strong even as consumer expectations sag.

    • US tariff policy remains uncertain, and much of the impact from tariff hikes is still ahead.

    Additionally, you may find this page interesting. It charts the business cycle across countries and quarters. If you play with the selections, you’ll see that countries’ economies do not always progress forward, nor are the rates of change consistent, so the page is not a predictor of what’s to come.

    FWIW, a financial advisor that I know said that his company is recommending that their investors shift to a portfolio with more foreign investments.