Based on the most recent special-election results, we should* see the Dems leave the 2026 mid-terms with 250+ house seats and a slight majority (50-55 range) in the senate.
Enough to impeach the orange turd - but not enough to convict, without some of the more moderate reps growing a spine.
* rough estimates based on a ~25 point swing in urban and suburban districts, and a ~15 point swing in rural seats towards the Dems from the 2024 result.
Again, this is also based on the idea that Trump won’t somehow rat-fuck the US to the point of declaring martial law due to a perceived insurrectionist uprising, and trying to cancel the mid-terms altogether.
The shit he’s pulling lately, getting voter rolls, admitting to the fact doge was just a way to steal data specifically for the started purpose of election interference, the midterms are either not going to happen, or be totally bogus
Based on the most recent special-election results, we should* see the Dems leave the 2026 mid-terms with 250+ house seats and a slight majority (50-55 range) in the senate.
Enough to impeach the orange turd - but not enough to convict, without some of the more moderate reps growing a spine.
* rough estimates based on a ~25 point swing in urban and suburban districts, and a ~15 point swing in rural seats towards the Dems from the 2024 result.
Again, this is also based on the idea that Trump won’t somehow rat-fuck the US to the point of declaring martial law due to a perceived insurrectionist uprising, and trying to cancel the mid-terms altogether.
Even a slight majority in the Senate will mean they can do a real trial there, something that didn’t happen in the previous two impeachments.
It also means that if he’s removed and Vance becomes President, his VP will have to be approved by a Democratic Senate.
The shit he’s pulling lately, getting voter rolls, admitting to the fact doge was just a way to steal data specifically for the started purpose of election interference, the midterms are either not going to happen, or be totally bogus