My parents and I left our home in the Gulf on Friday evening to visit family in Switzerland for my birthday last week. We were supposed to return today, but the airspace there is now closed. Do you think things will go back to business as usual soon?
Predictions are hard especially about the future. We also don’t have access to intelligence organisations and the reasoning behind all this.
My guess: Trump hopes that the protests resume and they overthrow the regime and whatever replaces them is less hostile to the US. If that does not happen he is okay with just crippling the oil infrastructure for a few years to come in order to limit Chinas access to cheap oil.
So if there are no signs of protests or uprising soon they will probably just call it a “victory” and go home like with the Houti. Trump has shown no interest in sustaining long military campaigns.
If there is an uprising he will probably continue for longer until supreme court says he can’t, because Congress will definitely be taking it to court but that takes time.
Wise words. ;-)