Speaking from Estonia, Ukrainian drone attacks on the Russian ports of Ust-Luga and Primorsk (on the Gulf of Finland in the Baltic Sea) have indeed been very intense during the past week.
Day after day, large swarms go and hit, the smoke of burning oil is visible to 70 km distance and some confused “birds” end up landing here (one hit a concrete smokestack, another fell in an empty field).
If this is what it takes to force Russia to end its war, I have no complaints.
But we should be aware that due to Trump’s little adventure in the Persian Gulf, which was entirely avoidable, currently a global economic recession is realistic outcome.
If I were in the shoes of Zelensky, I would advise Trump: “please, do save the global economy by ending your adventure in the Persian Gulf, we cannot have a pillow fight with Russia, they are extremely serious and not easily dissuaded”.
Yea This past sunday in Finland was quite scary, two Ukrainian drones landed here. Fortunately no-one was hurt, and none of our leaders have asked to reduce Ukrainian strikes or anything
This is what I think a lot of folks are missing about the current situation. This won’t be a run-of-the-mill recession. It would be physical, material disruptions in a whole lotta systems in transportation, food, manufacturing, energy, you name it. This means a lot of unemployment. The pandemic and 2008 are gonna look funny conpared to it. It’s not merely a crisis in the metadata (finance) which can be corrected via adjustments. It’s actual lack of a thing we use for everything. Increasing the price of it, which will absolutely occur, won’t make significantly more of it available. It would just change who gets more of the much smaller amount available. And when something gets expensive, the poorer people and countries get less of it than than the richer ones. Which means the crisis gonna get em that much harder.
Speaking from Estonia, Ukrainian drone attacks on the Russian ports of Ust-Luga and Primorsk (on the Gulf of Finland in the Baltic Sea) have indeed been very intense during the past week.
Day after day, large swarms go and hit, the smoke of burning oil is visible to 70 km distance and some confused “birds” end up landing here (one hit a concrete smokestack, another fell in an empty field).
If this is what it takes to force Russia to end its war, I have no complaints.
But we should be aware that due to Trump’s little adventure in the Persian Gulf, which was entirely avoidable, currently a global economic recession is realistic outcome.
If I were in the shoes of Zelensky, I would advise Trump: “please, do save the global economy by ending your adventure in the Persian Gulf, we cannot have a pillow fight with Russia, they are extremely serious and not easily dissuaded”.
Yea This past sunday in Finland was quite scary, two Ukrainian drones landed here. Fortunately no-one was hurt, and none of our leaders have asked to reduce Ukrainian strikes or anything
“a global
economic recessionfamine is currently a realistic outcome.”This is what I think a lot of folks are missing about the current situation. This won’t be a run-of-the-mill recession. It would be physical, material disruptions in a whole lotta systems in transportation, food, manufacturing, energy, you name it. This means a lot of unemployment. The pandemic and 2008 are gonna look funny conpared to it. It’s not merely a crisis in the metadata (finance) which can be corrected via adjustments. It’s actual lack of a thing we use for everything. Increasing the price of it, which will absolutely occur, won’t make significantly more of it available. It would just change who gets more of the much smaller amount available. And when something gets expensive, the poorer people and countries get less of it than than the richer ones. Which means the crisis gonna get em that much harder.