We do know that the US was targeting the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corp (IRGC), and the school is in an IRGC compound.
The most likely explanation seems to be that they intended to target an IRGC building, but instead hit the school. Whether that’s an issue with the missile’s guidance system, the plane’s targeting system, outdated maps, or a flaw in whatever process the military is using to select targets, is unknown.
It’s of course, possible that the US intentionally bombed a little girls school, but it seems somewhat unlikely. Even the most hawkish war mongerers recognize that randomly slaughtering hundreds of school girls is not going to gain support for your war.
The school was in the IRGC compound; however that was 10 years ago.
According to satellite imagery, the building in which the school was housed was initially walled within the IRGC compound in 2013 but was then walled off by September 2016.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Minab_school_airstrike (original source was paywalled)
Currently, the most likely explanation was that AI was used to choose targets and it hallucinated the building being a military target based on old data. The strike was not an accidental miss, because it involved a “double-tab” with a second missile used to kill those who came to provide aid after the first hit.
Came here to say basically this. I read that it used to be on the compound, but that it was separated out by a wall and made into a school some time ago - long enough that it means (if it’s true) we were using very outdated data, but you can apparently see on Google maps that it used to be part of the compound but now is outside the compound.
So a charitable interpretation is that we used outdated information to bomb what we thought was a military building. And of course there are less charitable interpretations.
The US has worlds most advanced satellites and intel. It’s impossible that they didn’t know what they were doing. 100% someone even brought it up and they decided to ignore the person.
I mean, we know for a fact that they used Palantir’s system for planning the invasion which is an automated intelligence analysis system.
That alone makes it entirely possible for them to have information and not know about it, on top of all the other existing ways that information can be compartmentalized, or thorough analysis and double checking can be skipped.
It’s impossible that they didn’t know what they were doing.
It’s absolutely not impossible.
It’s irresponsible and stupid, but it’s absolutely not impossible. People and systems can be smart, but often they are very very dumb.
That said, I wouldn’t be shocked if nobody could be bothered to remove it from a target list under the idea of claiming it was an accident or something.
But do I think it’s impossible the people putting it on the target list didn’t know? Not at all. (But do I think it was likely there wasn’t someone who knew? Also yes)
We do know that the US was targeting the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corp (IRGC), and the school is in an IRGC compound.
The most likely explanation seems to be that they intended to target an IRGC building, but instead hit the school. Whether that’s an issue with the missile’s guidance system, the plane’s targeting system, outdated maps, or a flaw in whatever process the military is using to select targets, is unknown.
It’s of course, possible that the US intentionally bombed a little girls school, but it seems somewhat unlikely. Even the most hawkish war mongerers recognize that randomly slaughtering hundreds of school girls is not going to gain support for your war.
The school was in the IRGC compound; however that was 10 years ago.
Currently, the most likely explanation was that AI was used to choose targets and it hallucinated the building being a military target based on old data. The strike was not an accidental miss, because it involved a “double-tab” with a second missile used to kill those who came to provide aid after the first hit.
Well the military won’t even acknowledge that a mistake was made so de facto they ARE perfectly fine with massacring children until proven otherwise.
They are now on par with their IDF brothers as far as I’m concerned.
Came here to say basically this. I read that it used to be on the compound, but that it was separated out by a wall and made into a school some time ago - long enough that it means (if it’s true) we were using very outdated data, but you can apparently see on Google maps that it used to be part of the compound but now is outside the compound.
So a charitable interpretation is that we used outdated information to bomb what we thought was a military building. And of course there are less charitable interpretations.
The US has worlds most advanced satellites and intel. It’s impossible that they didn’t know what they were doing. 100% someone even brought it up and they decided to ignore the person.
I mean, we know for a fact that they used Palantir’s system for planning the invasion which is an automated intelligence analysis system.
That alone makes it entirely possible for them to have information and not know about it, on top of all the other existing ways that information can be compartmentalized, or thorough analysis and double checking can be skipped.
It’s absolutely not impossible.
It’s irresponsible and stupid, but it’s absolutely not impossible. People and systems can be smart, but often they are very very dumb.
That said, I wouldn’t be shocked if nobody could be bothered to remove it from a target list under the idea of claiming it was an accident or something.
But do I think it’s impossible the people putting it on the target list didn’t know? Not at all. (But do I think it was likely there wasn’t someone who knew? Also yes)
The military likes to be seen as competent in media but in reality…