• 4 Posts
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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 18th, 2023

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  • line go up (but bad) From what I can tell, it looks like there are a lot of loans out right now, the rate at which they are issued has increased since the beginning of the Trump presidency has increased dramatically, and this is like really bad because If those loans don’t get paid back then pillars start collapsing underneath the financial system. Lose too many of those and the whole thing comes crashing down.

    This one graph doesn’t represent all of the bad that is going on, it’s just a sort of a weathervane to tell you which way the wind is blowing. …and right now it’s blowing where the sun don’t shine.


  • Never threaten.

    Even if you have the ability to defend yourself against a bully that is motivated by piss and vinegar, that doesn’t mean you want a target on your back or for them to see you coming.

    My guess is that many of the people who are willing to resist kinetically aren’t going to say anything or threaten anyone.

    One day, a thug kicks down the wrong door and punches his own ticket. The next day the paranoia grips the jackboots and they start passing gun laws in a hurry.

    Lots of cold dead hands after that and no one is willing to volunteer to be first in line to kick off that process.



  • Without even knowing what he spoke about yet, which I don’t, I can respect the conviction of a person who uses their platform to speak when they have rare access to that platform and there’s plenty to talk about.

    Plenty of us are going on marathon posting sessions on social media and it’s to a much smaller audience. I have to empathize a little bit with anybody who feels exhausted or overwhelmed by the absurdity of everything but then gets up to speak for a whole damn day on one of the largest stages in the world

    Even if the room is empty the audience is global. It may be grandstanding, but that’s part of the job. Getting attention to things you care about is part of the job. People put you there to bring attention to things that they hope that you care about.

    If government’s going to work at all people have to give a shit about it and whatever this dude was talking about it’s clear he gives a shit about it.


  • I went to 15+ schools before I graduated highschool, and depending on where I was I was either put into “gifted and talented”, the “extended learning program”, “fast path”, or “Accelerated Track”. Every place had a different philosophy of how to deal with kids who already knew how to read and do math.

    Sometimes I would end up in a class with a bunch of quiet bookworms who wore church clothes every day and other times I would be surrounded by rambunctious and highly enthusiastic nerds.

    Usually we would play computer games or play games designed to make us engage socially, but sometimes we would actually study interesting stuff in a deep way.

    Every one of these programs seems to be a totally improvised and locally unique program. Nothing from the words they used for things to the books, brands, or activities seemed to have any consistency. Since I usually moved in the middle of the school year I would often see multiple versions of each grade’s program.

    It made me really glad I didn’t grow up in a small town. Those people are getting screwed.


  • A lot of people want a good tool that works.

    This is not a good tool and it does not work.

    Most of them don’t understand that yet.

    I am optimistic to think that they will have the opportunity find that out in time to not be walked off a cliff.

    I’m optimistically predicting that when people find out how much it actually costs and how shit it is that they will redirect their energies to alternatives if there are still any alternatives left.

    A better tool may come along, but it’s not this stuff. Sometimes the future of a solution doesn’t just look like more of the previous solution.


  • These kinds of questions are strange to me.

    A great many people are using them voluntarily, a lot of people are using them because they don’t know how to avoid using them and feel that they have no alternative.

    But the implication of the question seems to be that people wouldn’t choose to use something that is worse.

    In order to make that assumption you have to first assume that they know qualitatively what is better and what is worse, that they have the appropriate skills or opportunity necessary to choose to opt in or opt out, and that they are making their decision on what tools to use based on which one is better or worse.

    I don’t think you can make any of those assumptions. In fact I think you can assume the opposite.

    The average person doesn’t know how to evaluate the quality of research information they receive on topics outside of their expertise.

    The average person does not have the technical skills necessary to engage with non-AI augmented systems presuming they want to.

    The average person does not choose their tools based on what is the most effective at producing the correct truth but instead on which one is the most usable, user friendly, convenient, generally accepted, and relatively inexpensive.

    50 million cigarette smokers can't be wrong!


  • A lot of those things have a business model that relies on putting the competition out of business so you can jack up the price.

    Uber broke taxis in a lot of places. It completely broke that industry by simply ignoring the laws. Uber had a thing that it could actually sell that people would buy.

    It took years before it started making money, in an industry that already made money.

    LLMs Don’t even have a path to profitability unless they can either functionally replace a human job or at least reliably perform a useful task without human intervention.

    They’ve burned all these billions and they still don’t even have something that can function as well as the search engines that proceeded them no matter how much they want to force you to use it.


  • Every particle accelerator that has been built has paid for itself in research value. There’s basically nothing that comes out of AI research except the need for a bigger model.

    The comparison is poor. Particle accelerators are science, LLMs do not produce science.

    That’s not to say that we couldn’t build LLMS that would be useful for scientific purposes but we’re not. That is not the function or the goal of the people building these things.






  • Neoliberals Don’t oppose fascists.

    He will work with the fascist to come up with a compromise that the fascists can live with. That probably means sacrificing vulnerable groups and rallying around right wing talking points.

    He is right wing. Gavin newsom is just right wing. the fact that there’s a uneven deeper more belligerent right wing out there doesn’t mean that he is somehow an alternative to it.






  • I’m not talking about the openly bigoted chuds out there I’m talking about the regular rank and file Americans who decided there was no room to question the the horrors we expanded from the shadows and filled every corner of our media with.

    Formerly kindly everyday american morons didn’t just watch it, they cheered. They scolded they youth for thinking we were entitled to the bill of rights. It was fucking bizarre who swallowed the bait.


  • If the population starts demanding more they will make it harder for you to make demands.

    You might see things like social media sites that were open and free being purchased by billionaires and transformed into unrecognizable sewers.

    You might see things like protests violently suppressed by massive police presences that fire on crowds that are both unarmed and non-violent.

    You might see things like insane brazenly partisan gerrymandering and voter purges.

    You might see things like people being arrested and disappeared for the reviews that run contrary to the regime.

    If you see any of these things, you might be in trouble because it doesn’t matter how many of you demand UBI or food or shelter, bullets are cheaper and they’ve already shown that they’re willing to use them.