Yeah, supposedly pollsters changed their algorithms to be more accurate after 2016. And 2020 polls were pretty accurate. But leading a poll when you’re still within the margin of error where you can lose isn’t really worth anything (that’s what happened to HRC). You can lead the poll but the poll can still be accurate to you losing.
Besides all the potential medications you’d wake up panicked, in water (likely swallow more), and may in your panick fail to get out of whatever tub setup you have. It isn’t common but people do drown in bathtubs (not just infants who’ve been left alone).