- cross-posted to:
- news@lemmy.world
- politics@lemmy.world
- cross-posted to:
- news@lemmy.world
- politics@lemmy.world
Donald Trump has not received a poll boost in the first presidential election survey conducted since the failed assassination attempt on Saturday.
The poll, conducted by Morning Consult of 2,045 registered voters on Monday, reveals that Trump is leading Joe Biden by just one percentage point on 46 percent, compared to the president’s 45 percent. The poll has a margin of error of +/- two percentage points.
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Polls don’t account for the Grey Death that will arise from the nursing homes to vote when the time comes. Nor does it account for the younger generations who argue about politics online but won’t bother actually voting.
Edit: replied to wrong comment
It’s depressing how many of the elderly turn out that way.
Well, his “followers” where already convinced to vote for him, and he’s so far out that people that did not follow him already actually have enough brain to not equate “assassination attempt” with “he’s a hero”, so there’s that.
The only thing missing from that picture is him holding the chain attached to Slave Leia.
I think this confirms what we kind of already know; Trump has maxed out his support, and it’s not much. Turnout is key for Democrats.
Not just key, but absolutely critical. Every single maga voter is going to turn out, and gerrymandering gives them a huge advantage as will the corrupt scotus. There will also be voter and voting fraud in favour of maga because if they win it doesn’t matter. There will also be evidence found of democrat voting fraud, so that they can claim both sides are the same.
The only thing that will win this for the dems is overcoming apathy and voting in utterly overwhelming numbers, particularly in swing states.
That would be some sort of participation trophy.
As much as I want this to be true (well I’d rather him be losing in all polls), this is disinformation at this moment.
The poll they are referencing is this one: https://pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-presidential-election-polling (Archive link)
Under “In this tracker”
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Trump maintains lead: Trump continues to lead Biden by 2 percentage points, 44% to 42%, unchanged from the previous week and superior to his standing in the lead-up to the first 2024 presidential debate, when the candidates were tied. The latest data was collected Friday through Sunday, meaning most responses were gathered before Saturday’s assassination attempt on Trump at a campaign rally in Pennsylvania.
Additionally, I don’t see any polls listed out here either that have been able to do a complete poll since the assassination attempt:
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-biden
Maybe impartial information more than disinformation. It’s still likely the responses from late Saturday and Sunday would have impacted the percentage by at least 1 or 2 points. The fact it stayed the same hopefully means that at best it simply prevented Biden from taking the lead.
Maybe, but considering this information is highlighted in the poll’s key points (immediately following and under the same point used for the title) doesn’t look good. It means that Newsweek is either doing a poor job at covering this (they didn’t even provide a direct link to the poll), or they are intentionally leaving out key details.
It’s also possible that they are only looking at a subset of the data that only focuses on people that were questioned the day after the event, but without a pro+ subscription I can’t tell if seperating out that group is even possible (if it even lists out which day a person was questioned) and that’s ignoring the impact on the reliability of those numbers given a largely reduced dataset.
Morning Consult Pro+ subscribers are able to access the data sets that power Morning Consult Pro’s reports and analysis
In the end, I’m waiting to see what the polls look like in battleground states to see how this event has really affected the situation.
We may never get an accurate poll post-assassination because the RNC quickly followed.
Half of the poll period was in the middle of the news cycle. You’d expect to see at least some movement.
I’d say it’s unlikely to change minds, but it could cause people to be even more forceful in their support and more likely to vote.
This mother f’er has to be the luckiest human to ever live.
if Republicans win they do what they want and if Democrats win they let the Republicans do what they want
no matter what the outcome of the election is we will certainly be left with an elderly far right out of touch Christian who wants more police funding, less worker’s rights with stagnated wages, less bodily autonomy, more state’s rights, restrictive immigration policies, less education funding, more tax breaks for mega corporations
If the lesser evil wins, you get to protest and put pressure on the government to improve things. If the greater evil does, you end up in the prison system if you try that.
A vote is not a love letter, it is a bus ticket.
which one is the lesser evil?
under their leadership prices on everyday items has skyrocketed, pay has stagnated and has lowered compared to start pay during the covid pandemic, there is no universal healthcare, we have less rights today than eight years ago (shocked we still have marriage equality at least for now)
both are Christian and our loss of rights to bodily autonomy over their two presidential terms drives the point home
both candidates supported the takeover of mega corporate tobacco taking over nicotine harm reduction
cannabis regulation in the same form as we currently treat vaped nicotine is supported by both candidates leading to more iffy products and more criminals for the mega corporate prison complexes
Biden’s crime bills from his time as a politician are still causing harm in people’s lives today so how does picking a prosecutor for his running mate show any change or any difference in these policies or his thinking versus Trump?
so which candidate was it that supports us the citizens? hard to tell the two apart
A vote is not a love letter, it is a bus ticket.
if there is truth in this statement why not throw support behind a third party? with enough votes even with a low number eventually a third party would have to be recognized the same as the other two with access to the national debate stage
Your vote is more than just consent for that party to enact their agenda. It is the strongest, if not the only, way to message both parties what you want government to do that they really listen too. Vote blue repeatedly and the Dems platform moves to the left as will the Reps eventually. Enough people vote blue consistently over time and the Reps would support healthcare reform etc…
Don’t vote and you get ignored. Period.
You’re right
That’s why I won’t use my vote to tell the government I support genocide.
I’ll vote downticket for Dems because I somewhat agree with them domestically, but they’re just as bad on foreign policy so I’m writing in Aaron Bushnell for President.
That he get’s ~45%, how sad.
aww did lil babby need a plaster for his lil oopsie?
I’m surprised it’s not a maga bandaid
Maybe gold or something
Definitely made in China
I’m surprised he didn’t show up in a fully body cast to maximize his play for sympathy.
If it was me. I would stop my campaign out of respect for the family of the fallen.
That seems like an odd sentiment. I’m no Trump supporter, but I can imagine a mindset of “hold on, my family died supporting you and you’re going to give up?”
In a news report the wife of the deceased said Biden called but she refused the call because the husband was a die hard republican, when asked she said no one from the trump side called.
Dang. I would pick up for Biden. I think he’s the kind of guy who would talk to you for hours at a BBQ with a nice beer 🍻. Politics is definitely not everything. I think that’s what pisses me off so much about Trump. Man I wanna do all the things in my bucket list before I’m expired but somehow in the background these assholes keep making unnecessary problems. I gotta work on my yard, I got programming to do and kids to entertain but nahhh…the social security money is running out, or nuclear war ahead, or we’ll be deporting all LGBTQA people to Cuba. And it just demands attention constantly. Even though we only vote the one time and our vote doesn’t even count towards electing the president. That’s why I would love to have a constant vote app…you can vote Trump today and if tomorrow he screws up, just remove your vote. If enough people unvote, he’s out.
Trump: “respect? That’s that one song by the black lady right? insert racist ramble here”
Removed by mod
Make sense… those who drank the kool aid are in for him no matter what… getting shot at does not seem like a deciding factor for anyone “on the fence”
“I was unsure at first, but he survived an incompetent shooter, so now I find his policies pretty convincing.”
These are American voters we’re talking about…
I just never saw why he would. The people voting for him are cultists. The people against him have already been disgusted by him in one way or another, I just can’t imagine how getting grazed would change their minds.
