• nl4real@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        10
        arrow-down
        1
        ·
        5 months ago

        This late in the game, it’s almost certainly Harris. Probably picks a swing state governor like Whitmer or Shapiro.

        • GiddyGap@lemm.ee
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          3
          ·
          5 months ago

          Or Mark Kelly. Regardless, it’s probably going to be a white male from a swing state to appeal to as broad of an electorate as possible.

        • fossilesque@mander.xyz
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          8
          ·
          edit-2
          5 months ago

          I don’t particularly like her, then again I detest nearly all politicians. That being said, I’m more motivated to vote, that’s for certain. I didn’t mind Biden, but it felt like elder abuse lol. He’s been better than anyone in my lifetime. Good God, I’d rather have her than Hilary as the first woman in the spot. Biden was just hard to watch and that position needs someone that will have to live with the consequences of the decisions in office. Will be curious to see who else puts their name in. 4 years ago he said he wouldn’t run again and he seems to be keeping that promise too. If they were clever, they’d put Biden as VP or as an advisor.

        • girlfreddy@lemmy.ca
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          61
          arrow-down
          3
          ·
          5 months ago

          If Harris is in, she can use the money already donated. Otherwise they have to start from scratch.

          So it’s almost guaranteed Harris will be in. Who they pick for VP is the question.

            • ricecake@sh.itjust.works
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              4
              ·
              5 months ago

              On the one hand: “you can’t have her she’s ours!”. On the other, she’s out in 26 regardless, and she’s pretty good so maybe we can share with the rest of the country.

          • Tryptaminev@lemm.ee
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            13
            arrow-down
            2
            ·
            5 months ago

            I find this so insane. People talk about who gets to keep the money, who has which rich asshole routing for them, which strategy has been successfull in the past, like always setting up the current president for reelection…

            We need to focus on who has actually inspiring policies and ideas. We need to focus on these, because that is what the Reps lack. All they offer is “not the Dems” while the policies they propose are actually unpopular with many of their base. And the whole “Not Trump” strategy of Biden just fell apart.

            Is there noone in the Democratic party who can actually come up with a coherent vision of the future and inspire people to follow it?

            • Pandantic [they/them]@midwest.social
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              5
              ·
              5 months ago

              Is there no one in the Democratic party who can actually come up with a coherent vision of the future and inspire people to follow it?

              This is why I think Pete Buttigieg should throw his hat in if they do have a primary. He just had a Bill Maher interview that just went viral because he knows how to talk to the common people. I think his visions are inspiring, he’s done a lot of work for his department, and he isn’t afraid to walk across party lines and go on Republican shows to talk about the real problems. He’s smart enough to smash Trump in a debate, calling out all his lies, and even if Trump is too scared to debate him, he has no problem laying out Trump’s lies elsewhere coherently and cognitively.

          • Qkall@lemmy.ml
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            2
            arrow-down
            10
            ·
            5 months ago

            I just don’t think she can beat big orange. I’m not saying she shouldn’t … but I don’t know … doubtful

            • ᴇᴍᴘᴇʀᴏʀ 帝@feddit.uk
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              8
              arrow-down
              1
              ·
              5 months ago

              July 11th poll:

              Americans divide 46-47% between Biden and Trump if the election were today, almost identical to a 44-46% ABC/Ipsos poll result in April. Among registered voters (though there’s plenty of time to register) it’s an absolute tie, 46-46%.

              Were Vice President Kamala Harris to replace Biden as the Democratic nominee, vote choices are 49-46%, Harris-Trump, among all adults (and 49-47% among registered voters). Harris’ 49% is slightly better than Biden’s 46%, although she doesn’t have a statistically significant lead over Trump.

              Also possibly key:

              Both candidates [Biden and Trump] face a high degree of scorn. About 4 in 10 Americans say neither has the mental sharpness or the physical health to serve effectively, and as many say neither is honest and trustworthy. Sixty percent say Trump is too old for a second term, also a new high, up from 44% in spring 2023. And in a sign of the nation’s political polarization, 50% say that given his debate performance, Trump should step aside in favor of another nominee – although, in contrast with Biden, very few of Trump’s own supporters say so.

              • WoahWoah@lemmy.world
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                3
                arrow-down
                1
                ·
                5 months ago

                You can expect Harris’s numbers to drop given she’s vulnerable to almost every criticism Biden was except age and the fact that the Trump campaign has already been preparing to attack her.

            • mosiacmango@lemm.ee
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              9
              arrow-down
              2
              ·
              edit-2
              5 months ago

              He was a prosecutor for years, so she has plently of oratory chops, and shes 20 years younger than trump to boot.

              Her only liability is the she is a she and there are plently of sexist fucks out there. Thats it.

              • ALQ@lemmy.world
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                13
                ·
                5 months ago

                You forgot that she’s a POC and there are also tons of racists fucks out there.

                Even before getting to her actual credentials (some great, others really not), people will be assholes. I still have hope that she, as a former prosecutor, could mop the floor with the fascists.

          • SeaJ@lemm.ee
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            8
            arrow-down
            6
            ·
            edit-2
            5 months ago

            No, they don’t. The Democratic Party can give the donated money to whoever is the candidate. Not sure where people are getting that.

            Edit: After reading up, I am mistaken kind of. If Harris is still the VP candidate, the money could be used. Otherwise a PAC would have to be setup to funnel money to the candidate…maybe. Bloomberg was simply able to transfer his campaign funds directly to the DNC since it was part of his campaign money…even though the vast majority of it was his own money.

            • mrlavallee@lemmy.world
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              15
              arrow-down
              1
              ·
              5 months ago

              The money Biden has raised directly however can only go to the people that were on his ticket at the time the donation was made

              • xmunk@sh.itjust.works
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                3
                ·
                5 months ago

                That’s correct, but nearly none of the money is the direct donation stuff - it’s almost in PACs which are (due to a legal fiction) entirely independent of the candidate.

                • mrlavallee@lemmy.world
                  link
                  fedilink
                  English
                  arrow-up
                  2
                  ·
                  5 months ago

                  There are still more restrictions however on spending on other candidates and they would have to act like any other PAC, only helping via donating/running ads in support of (but importantly not directly by) any other candidate.

            • FlowVoid@lemmy.world
              link
              fedilink
              English
              arrow-up
              9
              ·
              edit-2
              5 months ago

              The $100 million warchest belongs to the Biden/Harris campaign, not the Democratic Party. They are separate organizations, and Biden/Harris only answers to Biden and Harris.

              The DNC has its own funds of course, but nowhere near as much. And DNC funds are supposed to be shared with multiple Democrats, not just the one running for president.

              • Zaktor@sopuli.xyz
                link
                fedilink
                English
                arrow-up
                5
                ·
                5 months ago

                And notably even if Biden/Harris were supporting the alternative, they’re an outside group. They can spend like a super PAC, but can’t pay bills or do direct advertising.

        • Montagge@lemmy.zip
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          17
          arrow-down
          12
          ·
          5 months ago

          Half of America lost it’s mind when Obama was elected, and we’re still dealing with the fallout from that lovely dose of racism. There’s no way Kamala could win in this country.

          • Zaktor@sopuli.xyz
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            19
            arrow-down
            1
            ·
            5 months ago

            Obama won. And then won again. Stop pumping up the reactionaries as some unstoppable force. They’re a minority and have been on a long term losing streak.

          • Qkall@lemmy.ml
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            19
            arrow-down
            4
            ·
            5 months ago

            like all that aside, a lot of folks aren’t appreciative of her background as a cop… but yeah that’s a cherry to what you already mentioned

            • mosiacmango@lemm.ee
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              15
              arrow-down
              1
              ·
              5 months ago

              And a lot of swing voters will probably like that she was a prosecutor, a “law and order” type.

                • mosiacmango@lemm.ee
                  link
                  fedilink
                  arrow-up
                  3
                  ·
                  edit-2
                  5 months ago

                  She aint “black” as much as “brown.” Its an incredibly stupid hair to split, but indians are generally considered a “model minority” by racists, so it will likely hurt her but not as much as you may think.

                  • ImADifferentBird@lemmy.blahaj.zone
                    link
                    fedilink
                    English
                    arrow-up
                    2
                    ·
                    5 months ago

                    Isn’t she half-black and half-Indian? Or am I mistaken on that?

                    Regardless, the flame out of Bobby Jindal shows what those folks think of Indians anyway.

      • Kalothar@lemmy.ca
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        111
        arrow-down
        3
        ·
        5 months ago

        Senator Mark Kelly, he can do this

        He flipped AZ to blue

        He is an astronaut, all American, former servicemen

        He can get red votes and blue alike

        • ALQ@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          15
          ·
          5 months ago

          Hmm…not bad. Not amazing name recognition, but that could be remedied.

          Having Gabby campaign for/with him, especially after the DJT assassination attempt, could be beneficial, too. (Or could look like a disgusting political plot, but that’s really all our politics.)

        • Resonosity@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          5 months ago

          I highly doubt Kamala will want to pull a sitting Democratic senator away from the 50/50 Senate given the elections coming up.

          I think there is a greater chance that she picks one of the governors. My pick is J.B. Pritzker.

          • Kalothar@lemmy.ca
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            1
            ·
            5 months ago

            That is true, I really was just spitballing, I’ll have to look into JB Pritzker, I’m regrettably unfamiliar with him

        • ShepherdPie@midwest.social
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          6
          ·
          5 months ago

          Damn that would be a great pick. I’d like to see AOC but Kelly probably has more broad appeal with all the things you mentioned.

        • alienzx@feddit.nl
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          33
          arrow-down
          2
          ·
          5 months ago

          Isn’t senator Kelly the one that created the mutant registration act?

        • WoahWoah@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          8
          arrow-down
          3
          ·
          edit-2
          5 months ago

          Kelly or Mayor Pete seem like the best options.

          Buttigieg and AOC ticket? That would be the youth candidacy. Kelly and Buttigieg or vice versa would be more centrist but probably be the most robust candidacy.

          I hate to say it, but in this political climate and with the threat of Trump, the best shot is probably two young-ish white guys.

    • Bye@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      40
      arrow-down
      3
      ·
      edit-2
      5 months ago

      Literally any straight white man center-right democrat born after 1968 would wipe the floor with trump.

      And before anyone jumps down my throat, that’s not what I want. I want president Cortez. But presidents are chosen by money and by about 10,000 generically stupid swing voters in Michigan and Pennsylvania.