Did trump just set the new speed run for a Republican ruining the economy after a Democrat fixed it?
To hear him and his apparatchiks tell it, he was handed a DISASTROUS economy and we can all expect it to take a while for little d to fix it?
As if we cannot see with our own eyes that the economy he was handed was outstanding and his tariffs are the cause of these crashes?
This stuff reads like it was issued from the Ministry of Truth in 1984…
Recession speed run.
Only if we’re on the any%, this is looking like a 100% run so more like ‘Depression’
This is going to be the second Great Depression.
It is going to impact the entire world.
Notable differences from the last Great Depression:
Many countries have many nuclear weapons.
Something like 6 billion more people exist.
Climate change is accelerating, and this will make food more expensive everywhere, as opposed to a regionalized Dust Bowl, as well as causing more frequent and more severe natural disasters basically everywhere… and the more time passes, the more expensive it will be to mitigate this.
Perhaps also worth noting:
Japan argued the US’s oil embargo on it as functionally a declaration of economic war.
History is replete with examples of embargoes and massive tariffs being considered a justification for escalating a trade war… to an actual war.
Surely mortgage interest rates will follow right? Right? Yeah, right…
That’s based on inflation and with the tariffs I’ve got bad news regarding inflation…
So we can go back to I bonds or something soon?
Everyone here mentioning billionaires and missing the point that the Russian agent in charge is just doing his best to deliver any and all assets to Russia. Sanctions getting lifted just as the fire sale on American assets begins right before the civil unrest. If you’re a Russian dictator you could not have planned it better. Republicans are seriously the dumbest mother/sister fuckers on the planet. I can’t even believe how fucking stupid you’d have to be to hold “conservative views”. Like it does not compute how you can be that dumb
Like it does not compute how you can be that dumb
Easy, lack of education (or even actively detrimental ‘education’), courtesy of decades of Republican sabotage of the education system
“Small price to pay to own the libs!” the faithful cry as they slowly eat their daily ration (one egg and a slice of wonder bread)
Eggs? In this economy?!
“Shut up about the eggs”
- Donald Trump
I will never be able to read a sentence starting like that without Gabe yelling at andy as my inner voice
Haha yeah I hear it too. I still say that a lot when someone mentions the sun
Look at Mr Fancy over here eating a whole egg every day.
Looks like I might have made the right choice keeping my non-401k savings out of a market index fund for now.
I’m SO READY to buy the dip in a year and a half
I sold all of my stocks a couple weeks back and I’m feeling pretty fucking good about that right now.
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My employee stock purchase plan went through recently. I missed selling before the dip caused by all the other employees selling. Normally I will ride it out for a bit and the stock jumps back up but this time I had a sense it was going to just keep dropping. I waited a couple hours for it to partially rebound and managed to time it perfectly, it’s only been downhill since I sold lol
Well done. Timing the re-entry is difficult as well.
To be totally honest, this isn’t about stock market gamesmanship to me–I’m not trying to buy the dip over the next few days. (If anything I’m waiting for the AI bubble, which I personally believe is bigger than the .com bubble, to blow the fuck up.)
Between incompetent idiots and assholes running everything, ridiculously inflated stock prices, meme stocks and market manipulation, on-again-off-again trade war bullshit, and the AI bubble, I’m happy to have my money out of the market. I have zero faith in the people who are running our economy to do anything worth investing in, and I’ll be perfectly happy to find alternative means of investing over the next 2-4 years.
Frankly, I’m sick of putting almost my entire life savings in the hands of corporations and the delusional k-holed fucknuts like Musk who run them. It’s a bonus that I’m no longer the shameful owner of bullshit ETFs and company shares that serve only to enrich and empower the richest corporate oligarchs.
I’ve lived through multiple crashes already, maybe I’ll hop back into the stock market during the next one, or maybe not because fuck this whole system.
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Not unless you’re retiring soon. You want to buy when things are low.
That’s why I said “for now”. I was mulling buying in after the election when corporate interests were riding high on a “pro business” President. But I didn’t. Now I have that cash free to buy in when we hit the bottom of the slump, if there is a bottom…
There have been studies showing that just dollar cost averaging is a better strategy then trying to time the market using market sentiment for long term gains.
While thats true in the real long run during stable times, that also assumes there are not overt outside pressures forcing the market in one direction.
Trump does not bring stable times and is actively sabotaging economic stability.
Everyone says that about each and every presidency. The years have made me skeptical of anything revolutionary happening on a macroeconomic scale.
There might not be a bottom? Damn.
Every accusation is a confession.
For comparison, there was a 6% drop in the market in early August, and the market closed the end of the month up 2.4%
Damn he’s so self aware /s
Rip my year-old IRA…
Men is about 2 years old and I’m afraid to look.
From the article:
“We see some irony in the recent outperformance by foreign markets over the U.S. markets. In our view, foreign companies in Europe, Asia, and Latin America are likely to suffer even more from deployment of tariffs than companies in the U.S.”
I think they are overestimating the amount of trade flowing into the US. Tariffs will directly impacg US companies and customers, but they’ll also decrease the demand for foreign products. That will cause a challenge, if not outright recession worldwide, but I still think that foreign companies would be able to mitigate the drop in demand from the US better than US companies coping with supply shortages and higher prices.
When everyone is fearful be greedy…
I just do automatic investments in a diversified portfolio every month and forget about it. I’m young and in it for the long haul. If shit really hits the fan, none of it will matter anyway.
trying to look at the positive side, some house market value correction would be nice
The TCJA passed in Trump’s first term. It cut the mortgage interest deduction.
Mortgage interest deduction for newly purchased homes (and second homes) was lowered from total loan balances of $1 million under current law to $750,000. Interest from home equity loans (aka second mortgages) is no longer deductible, unless the money is used for home improvements.
The mortgage interest deduction is a tax break for homeowners, and Trump Term 1 saw that get cut. One would expect that cut to generally apply downwards pressure on house prices, since it makes it more-expensive to borrow money to buy a house.
If one assumes that one could use that as a guidepost as to policy during a second term, maybe that’ll continue.
kagis
https://doeren.com/viewpoint/president-trumps-proposed-tax-plans
To that end, GOP lawmakers in the U.S. House of Representatives have compiled a 50-page document that identifies potential avenues they may take, as well as how much these tax and other fiscal changes would cost or save.
To help generate savings, the GOP document proposes making changes to various tax breaks, such as:
- The mortgage interest deduction. Suggestions include eliminating the deduction or lowering the current $750,000 limit to $500,000.
Sounds like it. So that could push prices of houses downwards.
I haven’t been following the situation there, so this is just a quick skim, mind.
EDIT: I’d also add that some of Trump’s policies may have dramatic increases on house prices, depending on what he actually does at any given point in time; he’s not really one for providing clear guidance, and even when he does, one can’t very well take his statements at face value. Two potentially relevant factors include:
-
Trade disputes with Canada. The US gets a lot of its lumber from Canada, and North American homes are typically wood-framed. If lumber becomes more expensive, that will drive up the materials cost of construction of new homes.
-
Illegal immigration. If Trump actually has a significant impact on the illegal immigrant population, it will increase labor costs in construction, as construction makes use of a lot of illegal immigrant labor. That will drive up the labor cost of construction of new homes. My personal take is that most of Trump on immigration is political theater for domestic politics, but it’s worth keeping in mind.
So it’s hard to judge what factors might dominate.
The biggest influence on housing prices, by far, is the zoning code. Prices are never going to stabilize long term as long as cities keep legally prohibiting supply from meeting demand.
Not if the Fed steps in and bails out Trump with big cuts.
Which honestly could be the point of all this, crash the economy so the fed is forced to cut rates to near zero and all his billionaire buddies can enjoy the fire sale of the republic on the cheap.
This is intentional. The billionaires are salivating waiting in the wings to buy up as much as possible when the prices are low.
Billionaries just short the stocks and make tons on the way down as well.
Economic downturns are WHAT REPUBLICANS DO 👏 crab cakes and football 👏
bUt doNaLd is a gREat bUSinESs mAN! /s
The people have spoken! Trump is so much better for the economy! /s
Margin of error +/-52%.
Damn the people are dumb as fuck
So. Fucking. Dumb.
Every time I see these two side by side I think of the smiler and the beast from transmetropolitan
Self-fulfilling prophecy, not that the shortsighted goons who run hedge funds give a flying fuck.